Our modeling studies apply the Clark-Hall atmospheric prediction
model, which has been coupled to a wildfire model. Through
this interaction, the fire releases heat and moisture into
the atmosphere, causing strong winds near the fire. These
strong winds then affect the further spread rate and direction
of the fire.
Our experiments have simulated fires in many atmospheric
conditions, with a variety of fuel types, in different types
of terrain to address important questions such as:
- What causes extreme fire behavior?
- Can the model predict
- How can we predict which few of 100,000 fires
in the U.S. each year could become the "Big Ones"?
- What research is needed before there can be an operational
fire behavior forecast model?