Workshop Presentations Agenda (View the Poster Sessions Agenda)

Untitled Document

Blue text denotes invited speakers.

MONDAY: 5 June 2006

7:30 - 9:00: Conference Registration at the UMC Terrace (near the Dalton Trumbull Fountain)
9:00 - 10:15: Session 1: Quantitative Precipitation Estimation - Chemistry Building, Room 140
- 9:00 - 9:30: Philip Arkin, USA - "Evaluation of High Resolution Precipitation Forecasts and Analyses from Satellite Observations"
- 9:30 - 9:45: Diganta Kumar Sarma, India - "Retrieval of Instantaneous Rain Rate Over Ocean From TMI Brightness Temperature and Latent Heat"
- 9:45 - 10:00: Gabriele Villarini, USA - "Generator of Empirically-Based Synthetic Radar-Rainfall Data"
- 10:00 - 10:15: Carlos Velasco-Forero, Spain - "An automatic methodology for estimation of rainfall fields blending radar and rain gauges data in real time"
10:15 - 10:45: BREAK - UMC Terrace (near the Dalton Trumbull Fountain)
10:45 - 12:15: Session 2: Integrating Observations and Atmospheric Models in Hydrological Forecasts - Chemistry Building, Room 140
- 10:45 - 11:00: Felix Ament, Germany - "Coupling a high resolution SVAT scheme with a mesoscale model by the mosaic and tile approach"
- 11:00 - 11:15: Katia Chancibault, France - "A hydro-meteorological high-resolution coupled system for flash-flood forecasting"
- 11:15 - 11:30: Cesar Beneti, Brazil - "Use of Coupled WRF atmospheric and TOP Model hydrologic models for streamflow predctions for IguaÁu River - Brazil"
- 11:30 - 11:45: Gordon McKay, Australia - "Application of Quantitative Precipitation Estimates in Australian Flood Warnings"
- 11:45 - 12:00: Heinz-Theo Mengelkamp, Germany - "Objective ands subjective calibration of an atmospheric/hydrological model system for the Odra watershed"
- 12:00 - 12:15: Fei Chen, USA - "NCAR High-resolution Land Data Assimilation System: Development and Applications"
12:15 - 14:45: Lunch and Poster Session I - UMC Ballroom
14:45 - 16:45: Session 3: Bridging the Gap Between Extrapolation and NWP - Chemistry Building, Room 140
- 14:45 - 15:15: Alan Seed, Australia - "Forecasting rainfall at short time and space scales"
- 15:15 - 15:30: Francois Bouttier, France - "Regional precipitation forecasts and data assimilation with the AROME model"
- 15:30 - 15:45: Tabito Hara, Japan - "The operational non-hydrostatic meso-scale model for quantitative precipitation forecasts at JMA"
- 15:45 - 16:00: Mark Dixon, UK - "Convective-scale Data Assimilation in High-resolution Versions of the Unified Model"
- 16:00 - 16:15: Michael Baldauf, Germany - "The new very short range forecast model LMK for the convection-resolving scale"
- 16:15 - 16:30: W K Wong, Hong Kong - "RAPIDS - Operational Blending of Nowcast and NWP QPF"
- 16:30 - 16:45: James Pinto, USA - "Improving the Skill of Short-Term Forecasts of Thunderstorms through Blending Observation and Model-Based Forecasts"
17:15 - 19:00: RECEPTION at NCAR's Mesa Lab in the Tree Plaza

TUESDAY: 6 June 2006

8:30 - 10:00: Session 4: Short-range QPF - Chemistry Building, Room 140

8:30 - 9:00: Steve Mullen, USA - "QPF"
9:00 - 9:15: Chiara Marsigli, Italy - "Using model perturbations for short-range ensemble forecasting with a limited-area model"
9:15 - 9:30: Mark Rodwell, UK - "Using Combined Prediction Systems to Forecast Rainfall"
9:30 - 9:45: Paul Schultz, USA - "NWP Development Activities at ESRL Associated with the HMT Project"
9:45 - 10:00: Christopher Anderson, USA - "Comparison of Cold Season QPF and PQPF from Time-lagged and Multiple Model Ensembles"

10:00 - 10:30: BREAK - UMC Terrace (near the Dalton Trumbull Fountain)
10:30 - 12:00: Session 4: Short-range QPF (continued) - Chemistry Building, Room 140

10:30 - 10:45: Sarah John, UK - "Precipitation forecasts from MOGREPS: a Met Office ensemble prediction system for short-range weather forecasting"
10:45 - 11:00: Laurence Wilson, Canada - "A diagnostic verification of probability of quantitative precipitation forecasts (PQPF) from the Canadian Ensemble system"
11:00 - 11:15: Chunguang Cui., P.R. China - "Development and Applications of the Advanced Regional Eta-Coordinate Numerical Heavy-Rain Prediction Model (AREM) System in China"
11:15 - 11:30: Roman Krzysztofowicz, USA - "Bayesian procesor of output for probabilistic quantitative precipitation forecasting"
11:30 - 11:45: Isidora Jankov, USA - "The Role of Physical Scheme Interactions in Design of a Mixed-physics Ensemble for Warm Season MCS Rainfall Forecasting"
11:45 - 12:00: Daniel Sempere-Torres, Spain - "Coupling radar based probabilistic precip forecasts and hydrological models: assessing predictability and uncertainty propagation"

12:00 - 14:30: Lunch and Poster Session 2 - UMC Ballroom
14:30 - 15:55: Session 5: Uncertainty in Hydrological Prediction - Chemistry Building, Room 140

14:30 - 14:50: John Schaake, USA - "Preprocessing Atmospheric Precipitation Forecasts to Produce Ensemble Forcing for NWS Hydrologic Forecasts"
14:50 - 15:05: Roberto Ranzi, Italy - "A 'target-basin' approach to Hydrological Ensemble Prediction System applied to the Florence 1966 'century' flood"
15:05 - 15:20: Carlos Velasco-Forero, Spain - "Effects of Rainfall Spatial Structure and Rainfall - Runoff Model Structure on Hydrological Flood Forecasting"
15:20 - 15:35: Nicola Rebora, Italy - "Probabilistic Flood Forecasting: a case study in the Mediterranean area"
15:35 - 15:55 pm: Seann Reed, USA - "Use of a Statistical-Distributed Hydrologic Model and Short-term Precipitation Forecasts for Flash Flood Forecasting"

15:55 - 16:15: BREAK - UMC Terrace (near the Dalton Trumbull Fountain)
16:15 - 17:40: Session 5: Uncertainty in Hydrological Prediction (continued) - Chemistry Building, Room 140

16:15 - 16:30: Pertti Nurmi, Finland - "COST Action 731: Propoagation of Uncertainty in Advanced Meteo-Hyrdological Forecast Systems - An Overview"
16:30 - 16:45: Allen Bradley, USA - "An AHPS Verification System for Ensemble Streamflow Forecasts"
16:45 - 17:00: Umamahesh V. Nanduri, India - "Qualitative and Quantitative Prediction of Reservoir Inflows during Monsoon Season"
17:00 - 17:20: Rosario Alfaro, Costa Rica - "The Flash Flood Guidance System for Central America (CAFFG) and Very Short Range Forecasting"
17:20 - 17:40: Thorsten Wagener, USA - "Hydrologic ensemble predictions in ungauged basins"

18:30 - 21:30: Conference Dinner and Speaker: Soroosh Sorooshian - Folsom Field Stadium Club

WEDNESDAY: 7 June 2006

8:15 - 9:45: Session 6: Verification of Precipitation Forecasts - Chemistry Building, Room 140

8:15 - 8:45: Barbara Casati, Canada - "A Wavelet-Based Approach to Account for Variations in the Spatial Resolution of Gauge Networks in the Verification of Precipitation Forecasts at Different Resolutions"
8:45 - 9:00: Monika Pfeifer, Germany - "A model to observation approach to evaluating cloud microphysical parameterisations using polarimetric radar"
9:00 - 9:15: Steven E. Koch, USA - "Verification of Convection-Resolving Model Forecasts: Accumulated Precipitation vs. Simulated Radar Reflectivity Fields"
9:15 - 9:30: Anthony Illingworth, UK - "Evaluation of QPF using the observed probability distribution function of rainrates"
9:30 - 9:45: Bodo Ahrens, Switzerland - "Importance of rain-gauge data upscaling for evaluation of numerical weather forecasts"

9:45 - 10:15: BREAK - UMC Terrace (near the Dalton Trumbull Fountain)
10:15 - 12:00: Session 6: Verification of Precipitation Forecasts (continued) - Chemistry Building, Room 140

10:15 - 10:45: Victor Magaña, Mexico - "Evaluation of MM5 Precipitation Forecasts for Mexico City Using a 1-2-3 Rule"
10:45 - 11:00: Johannes Jenkner, Switzerland - "Conditional Verification of Regional Precipitation Forecasts"
11:00 - 11:15: Hanzhong Feng, P.R. China - "Verification of precipitation prediction from mesoscale ensemble system for the Upper Basin of Yangtze River"
11:15 - 11:30: Marcus Paulat, Germany - "Novel approaches for the verification of high-resolution QPFs over Germany"
11:30 - 11:45: Elizabeth Ebert, Australia - "Fuzzy forecast verification"
11:45 - 12:00: Barbara Brown, USA - "Application of an object-based verification approach to compare the performance of QPFs based on different models"

12:00 - 14:45: Lunch and Poster Session 3 - UMC Ballroom
14:45 - 16:00: Session 7: Orographic and Coastal Precipitation Prediction - Chemistry Building, Room 140

14:45 - 15:05: Hans Volkert, Germany - "Progress in Precipitation Forecasting Near Mountains: How Can Lessions from Map be Useful for THORPEX?"
15:05 - 15:25: Evelyne Richard, France - "Quantitative precipitation forecasting in mountainous regions - contribution from the Mesoscale Alpine Programme"
15:25 - 15:45: Richard Rotunno, USA - "Lessons on Orographic Precipitation from MAP"
15:45 - 16:00: Marco Arpagaus, Switzerland - "MAP D-PHASE - a WWRP Forecast Demonstration Project"

16:00 - 16:20: BREAK - UMC Terrace (near the Dalton Trumbull Fountain)
16:20 - 17:45: Session 7: Orographic and Coastal Precipitation Prediction (continued) - Chemistry Building, Room 140

16:20 - 16:35: Andreas Hense, Germany - "The German Priority Program SPP1167 PQP NQuantitative Precipitation Forecstì, an overview"
16:35 - 16:55: Christoph Kottmeier, Germany: "The Convective and Orographically Induced Precipitation Study (COPS) in 2007"
16:55 - 17:10: Paul J. Nieman, USA - "A Multiwinter Statistical Analysis of Integrated Water Vapor, Wind, and Rainfall in Californiaís Coastal Mountains"
17:10 - 17:30: Ben Jong-Dao Jou, Taiwan - "Precipitation Structure Change of Landfalling Typhoons in the Taiwan Area and Its Application on Very-Short Term QPF"
17:30 - 17:45: Li Yeng, P. R. China - "Diagnostic Study on the Rainfall Increase Associated to Typhoon Tananim over Inland China"

THURSDAY: 8 June 2006

8:45 - 10:00: Session 8: Extended Range and Seasonal Prediction - Chemistry Building, Room 140

8:45 - 9:00: Rongqian Yang, USA - "Warm Season Precipitation Prediction over North America using the Eta Regional Climate Model"
9:00 - 9:15: Y.B. Ghile, South Africa - "Bridging the Gap between Climate Forecasts and their Practical use in Agrohydrological Models"
9:15 - 9:30: Abebe Yeshanew, Ethiopia - "Tropical North Africa Rainfall and Hydrological Mechanisms and Prediction"
9:30 - 9:45: Jessica D. Lundquist, USA - "Rain versus Snow in the Sierra Nevada, CA: Comparing radar observations of melting level with surface measurements"
9:45 - 10:00: Elena Asabina, Russia - "The Hydrological Antipodes: Phenomena of the Freezing and the Drying up of Channel"

10:00 - 10:30: BREAK - UMC Terrace (near the Dalton Trumbull Fountain)
10:30 - 12:15: Session 9: Prediction of the Diurnal Cycle of Precipitation - Chemistry Building, Room 140

10:30 - 10:45: Richard Carbone, USA - "Diurnal and Intra-seasonal Variability of Precipitation in the North American Monsoon Region"
10:45 - 11:00: Augusto J. Pereira Filho, Brazil - "The Dynamics of Convective Systems in the Amazon Basin"
11:00 - 11:15: Chung-Chieh Wang, Taiwan (presented by R. Carbone) - "Conditions Associated with Propagating Precipitation Episodes during the Warm-season over the East Asian Continent"
11:15 - 11:30: Arlene Laing, USA - "The diurnal cycles and propagation of deep convection in Africa"
11:30 - 11:45: Changhai Liu, USA - "Sensitivity of Warm-Season Convection to Cloud Microphysics Parameterizations in Explicit Simulations and Comparison to Cumulus Parameterization Sensitivity"
11:45 - 12:00: William Gallus, USA- "Trends in Warm Season Precipitation Forecast Skill from Four Eta and WRF Model Configurations"
12:00 - 12:15: Tom Keenan, Australia - "Characteristics of Warm Season Precipitation in the Australian Region"

12:30 - 14:30: Conference Luncheon and Speaker: Dave Parsons
14:30: End of Symposium